CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-12-24T00:36:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-12-24T00:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/35915/-1
CME Note: [PRELIMINARY] Faint CME seen to the southeast in SOHO LASCO associated with an M4.7-class flare near AR13932 (S15E20) and characterized by a broad area of moving field lines seen best in GOES SUVI 284 and brightening in GOES 304/171, the leading edge disappears in SOHO LASCO C2 before it reaches the end of the field of view. Not seen well in STEREO A COR2 due to a data gap/campaign. No clear arrival signature in solar wind at L1: there might be a weak arrival around ~2024-12-28T15:40Z, with separation of magnetic field components and a drop in density but it is inconclusive.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-12-28T06:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -254.95 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:57Z
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